A ranar 15 ga Mayu, 2025, sabon rahoton JPMorgan ya annabta cewa matsakaicin farashin aluminum a rabin na biyu na 2025 zai zama $2325 kowace ton. Hasashen farashin aluminium ya ragu sosai fiye da kyakkyawan hukunci na "karancin wadatar kayayyaki zuwa $2850" a farkon Maris, yana nuna ma'auni na rarrabuwar kawuna na gajeren lokaci ta cibiyoyi.

Ci gaban da ba zato ba tsammani na yarjejeniyar cinikayyar Amurka ta China ya sauƙaƙa tsammanin tsammanin buƙatun aluminum. Sayen farko na kasar Sin: Bayan sassauta shingen haraji, masu siyar da kayayyaki na kasar Sin sun kara saurin tattara albarkatu masu rahusa, tare da kara farashi cikin kankanin lokaci.

1. Abubuwan tuƙi na ɗan gajeren lokaci da sabani na kasuwa

Ƙananan ƙira da buƙatar juriya

Sabbin ƙananan ƙididdiga masu ƙima: Ƙididdigar aluminium na bayyane na duniya na iya rufe kusan kwanaki 15 na amfani, matakin mafi ƙasƙanci tun 2016, yana goyan bayan elasticity farashin;

Sauya buƙatun tsarin: Yawan haɓakar buƙatun aluminium a cikin fagage masu tasowa kamarsababbin motocin makamashida kuma shigarwa na hotovoltaic ya kai 6% -8%, wani ɓangare na rage haɗarin raguwar buƙatun motoci na gargajiya.

2. Gargaɗi na Haɗari da Damuwa na dogon lokaci

Aluminum bukatar gefen 'black swan'

Jawo masana'antar kera motoci: Idan tallace-tallacen motocin man fetur na gargajiya sun ragu fiye da tsammanin (kamar koma bayan tattalin arziki a Turai da Amurka), farashin aluminum na iya faɗuwa ƙasa da $2000/ton.

Tasirin farashin makamashi: Sauye-sauye a farashin iskar gas na Turai na iya haɓaka farashin samar da aluminium electrolytic, yana ta'azzara rashin daidaiton buƙatun yanki.

3. Shawarwari don Dabarun Sarkar Masana'antu

Ƙarshen Ƙarshen Ƙarshen Ƙarshen Ƙarshe: Kulle kwangilar ƙima a cikin yankin Asiya don guje wa haɗarin ƙetare yaduwar ƙetare Pacific.

Ƙarshen sarrafawa:Aluminum kamfanoniba da fifikon siyan kayan tabo daga yankuna masu alaƙa da amfani da ƙananan tagogi masu ƙima.

Bangaren zuba jari: farashin aluminum suna da hankali game da haɗarin karya ta matakin tallafin $ 2300.