Maajo 15, 2025, warbixintii u dambaysay ee JPMorgan ayaa saadaalisay in celceliska qiimaha aluminiumka ee qaybta labaad ee 2025 uu noqon doono $2325 tan. Saadaasha qiimaha aluminiumku aad ayuu uga hooseeyaa xukunka rajada leh ee "la'aanta sahayda oo kor u kacday $2850" horraantii Maarso, taasoo ka tarjumaysa isku dheelitirnaanta kala duwanaanshaha suuqa ee muddada-gaaban ee hay'adaha.

Horumarka lama filaanka ah ee heshiiska ganacsiga Mareykanka ee Shiinaha ayaa fududeeyay rajooyinka rajo-xumada leh ee baahida aluminium. Soo iibsigii hore ee Shiinaha: Ka dib markii la dabciyay caqabadaha tacriifada, iibsadayaasha Shiinaha waxay dardargeliyaan kaydinta kheyraadka jaban, iyagoo kor u qaadaya qiimaha muddada gaaban.

1. Sababaha wadista muddada gaaban iyo is-diidmada suuqa

Alaabada hoose iyo adkeysiga baahida

Daboolida alaabada hoose ee cusub: Aluminium aluminium ah oo cad oo caalami ah ayaa dabooli kara oo keliya 15 maalmood ee isticmaalka, heerka ugu hooseeya tan iyo 2016, taageeraya barti qiimaha;

Beddelka baahida qaabdhismeedka: Heerka kobaca baahida aluminium ee meelaha soo baxaya sidabaabuurta tamarta cusubiyo rakibaadda sawir-qaadista ayaa gaadhay 6% -8%, taas oo qayb ahaan ka dhigaysa khatarta hoos u dhaca baahida baabuurta dhaqameed.

2. Digniinta Khatarta iyo walaacyada muddada dheer

Dhanka baahida aluminium 'swan madow'

Jiidista warshadaha baabuurta: Haddii iibinta baabuurta shidaalka dhaqameed ay hoos u dhacayso wixii laga filayey (sida hoos u dhaca dhaqaale ee Yurub iyo Ameerika), qiimaha aluminiumku wuxuu hoos uga dhici karaa $2000/ton.

Saamaynta qiimaha tamarta: Isbeddelka qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah ee Yurub ayaa laga yaabaa inuu kor u qaado qiimaha wax soo saarka ee aluminium elektrolytic ah, taasoo ka sii dari karta isu dheelitir la'aanta baahida saadka ee gobolka.

3. Soo jeedinta Istaraatiijiyada Silsiladda Warshadaha

Dhammaadka dhalaalka: Quful qandaraasyada qaaliga ah ee gobolka Aasiya si looga fogaado khatarta ah in la yareeyo faafitaanka garqaadida Baasifigga.

Dhammaadka habaynta:Shirkadaha aluminiumMudnaan sii iibsashada alaabta meesha taal ee aagagga xidhxidhan oo isticmaal daaqadaha qiimaha hoose ee alaabada.

Dhinaca maalgashiga: Qiimaha aluminiumku waxay ka digtoon yihiin khatarta ah inay jabiyaan heerka taageerada $ 2300.