Kukho izibonakaliso zokuba ukunqongophala kokubonelela okuphazamisa imarike yempahla kunye nokunyanzeliswa kwamaxabiso e-aluminium ukuya kwi-13-year high kule veki akunakwenzeka ukuba kuncitshiswe kwixesha elifutshane-oku kwakukho kwinkomfa enkulu ye-aluminium eNyakatho Melika eyaphela ngoLwesihlanu. Imvumelwano ekufikelelwe kuyo ngabavelisi, abathengi, abarhwebi nabathuthi.

Ngenxa yokunyuka kwemfuno, ukuthunyelwa kweebhotile kunye nezithintelo zemveliso e-Asiya, amaxabiso e-aluminium anyuke nge-48% kulo nyaka, nto leyo ebangele inkxalabo malunga nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwimarike, kwaye abavelisi bempahla yabathengi bajongene nokuhlaselwa kabini kokunqongophala kwezinto eziluhlaza kunye nokunyuka okubukhali iindleko.

KwiNgqungquthela yeAluminiyam yeZibuko ecwangciselwe ukubanjelwa eChicago nge-8-10 kaSeptemba, abaninzi ababekhona bathi ukunqongophala kobonelelo kuya kuqhubeka nokukhathaza ishishini phantse kulo nyaka uzayo, kwaye abanye abazileyo bade baqikelele ukuba kungathatha ukuya kuthi ga kwiminyaka emihlanu ukusombulula. ingxaki yonikezelo.

Okwangoku, ikhonkco lonikezelo lwehlabathi jikelele kunye nokuthunyelwa kweekhonteyina njengoko intsika izama ngamandla ukugcina imfuno ekhulayo yempahla kwaye yoyise impembelelo yokunqongophala kwabasebenzi okubangelwa ngubhubhani omtsha wesithsaba. Ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi kunye nabaqhubi belori kwiifektri ze-aluminium kuye kwandise iingxaki kwishishini le-aluminium.

“Kuthi imeko yangoku imbi kakhulu. Ngelishwa, xa sijonge ku-2022, asicingi ukuba le meko iza kunyamalala nanini na kwakamsinya,” utshilo uMike Keown, i-CEO ye-Commonwealth Rolled Products, kwindibano, “Kuthi, imeko enzima ngoku isandula ukuqalisa, eyakuthi. sihlale siphaphile.

I-Commonwealth ikakhulu ivelisa iimveliso ze-aluminiyam zexabiso ezongeziweyo kwaye zizithengise kushishino lweemoto. Ngenxa yokunqongophala kwee-semiconductors, imboni yeemoto ngokwayo nayo ijongene nobunzima bokuvelisa.

Uninzi lwabantu abathathe inxaxheba kwiNgqungquthela yeAluminiyam yaseHarbour nabo bathi ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi yeyona ngxaki inkulu abajongene nayo ngoku, kwaye abazi ukuba le meko iza kupheliswa nini.

UAdam Jackson, intloko yorhwebo ngentsimbi e-Aegis Hedging, uthe kudliwano-ndlebe, “Iiodolo zabathengi eneneni zingaphezulu lee kunoko bezidinga. Basenokungalindeli ukuzifumana zonke, kodwa ukuba ba-odole ngaphezulu, banokukwazi ukusondela kubungakanani obulindelekileyo. Ewe kunjalo, ukuba amaxabiso ehla kwaye ubambe uluhlu olongezelelekileyo olungabanjwanga, ke le ndlela iyingozi kakhulu. ”

Njengoko amaxabiso e-aluminiyam enyuka, abavelisi kunye nabathengi bathethathethana ngeekhontrakthi zonyaka. Abathengi bazama ukulibazisa kangangoko banakho ukufikelela kwisivumelwano, kuba iindleko zokuthumela namhlanje ziphezulu kakhulu. Ukongeza, ngokutsho kukaJorge Vazquez, umlawuli olawulayo we-Harbour Intelligence, basajonge kwaye balindele ukubona ukuba iRussia, i-aluminiyam yesibini ngobukhulu emhlabeni, iya kugcina irhafu ebiza kakhulu yokuthumela ngaphandle kude kube ngunyaka olandelayo.

Zonke ezi zingabonisa ukuba amaxabiso aya kunyuka ngakumbi. I-Harbour Intelligence ithe ilindele ukuba ixabiso eliqhelekileyo le-aluminiyam ngo-2022 liya kufikelela malunga ne-US $ 2,570 ngetoni nganye, eya kuba malunga ne-9% ephezulu kunexabiso eliqhelekileyo le-alloy ye-aluminium ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka. I-Harbour iphinda iqikelele ukuba iprimiyamu yaseMidwest e-United States iya kunyukela kwixesha lonke eliphezulu leesenti ezingama-40 ngeponti kwikota yesine, ukonyuka nge-185% ukusuka ekupheleni kuka-2020.

“Isiphithiphithi sisenokuba sisichazi esilungileyo ngoku,” utshilo uBuddy Stemple oyi-CEO yeConstellium SE, esenza ishishini lemveliso. “Andizange ndibe nexesha elifana neli kwaye ndajongana nemiceli mngeni emininzi ngaxeshanye.