Kutshanje, iBhanki yaseMelika (BOFA) ikhuphe uhlalutyo lwayo olunzulu kunye nembono yexesha elizayo kwihlabathi liphelaimarike aluminiyam. Ingxelo iqikelela ukuba nge-2025, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo le-aluminium lilindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-$ 3000 ngetoni nganye (okanye i-$ 1.36 ngeponti nganye), engabonisi nje ulindelo olunethemba lwemarike kumaxabiso e-aluminiyam ezayo, kodwa iphinda ibonise utshintsho olunzulu kunikezelo kunye nobudlelwane bemfuno. kwimarike aluminiyam.

Owona mba unomtsalane wengxelo ngokungathandabuzekiyo luqikelelo lokunyuka kobonelelo lwe-aluminiyam yehlabathi. IBhanki yaseMelika iqikelela ukuba ngo-2025, izinga lokukhula konyaka-ngonyaka lonikezelo lwe-aluminiyam yehlabathi luya kuba yi-1.3% kuphela, ephantsi kakhulu kunomlinganiselo wokukhula wonyaka wokubonelela nge-3.7% kwiminyaka elishumi edlulileyo. Olu qikelelo ngokungathandabuzekiyo luthumela uphawu olucacileyo kwimarike ukuba ukukhula konikezelo lweimarike aluminiyamiyakucotha kakhulu kwixesha elizayo.

Ialuminiyam, njengesixhobo esisisiseko esiyimfuneko kushishino lwangoku, iphenjelelwe ngokusondeleyo ziinkalo ezininzi ezifana noqoqosho lwehlabathi, ulwakhiwo lweziseko ezingundoqo, kunye nokuveliswa kweemoto ngokwendlela yexabiso layo. Ngokuchacha kancinci kancinci koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nophuhliso olukhawulezayo lweemarike ezikhulayo, imfuno ye-aluminiyam ibonisa ukukhula okuzinzileyo. Ukukhula kwecala lonikezelo lusilele ukuhambisana nesantya semfuno, nto leyo eya kuthi ngokungathintelekiyo ikhokelele kuxinzelelo olongezelelekileyo kubonelelo lwemarike kunye nobudlelwane bemfuno.
Uqikelelo lweBhanki yaseMelika lusekelwe kule mvelaphi. Ukucotha kokukhula konikezelo kuya kuyenza mandundu imeko yemarike engqongqo kwaye kunyuse amaxabiso e-aluminiyam. Kumashishini anxulumeneyo kwikhonkco loshishino lwe-aluminium, oku ngokungathandabuzekiyo ngumceli mngeni kunye nethuba. Kwelinye icala, kufuneka bajamelane noxinzelelo oluziswa kukunyuka kwexabiso lezinto ezisetyenziswa ekrwada; Kwelinye icala, banokuthatha ithuba lentengiso eqinileyo ukunyusa amaxabiso emveliso kunye nokunyusa imida yenzuzo.
Ukongeza, ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso e-aluminium kuya kuba nempembelelo enkulu kwiimarike zemali. I-market derivatives market ezinxulumene ne-aluminium, ezifana nexesha elizayo kunye neenketho, ziya kuguquguquka ngokuguquguquka kwamaxabiso e-aluminium, ukubonelela abatyali-mali ngamathuba orhwebo atyebileyo kunye nezixhobo zokulawula umngcipheko.