Hariho ibimenyetso byerekana ko ikibazo cyo kubura isoko cyahungabanije isoko ryibicuruzwa kandi bigatuma ibiciro bya aluminiyumu bigera ku myaka 13 hejuru muri iki cyumweru bidashoboka ko byagabanuka mu gihe gito-ibi byari mu nama nini ya aluminium yabereye muri Amerika ya Ruguru yarangiye ku wa gatanu. Ubwumvikane bwagezweho nababikora, abaguzi, abacuruzi nabatwara ibintu.

Kubera ubwiyongere bukabije, ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga hamwe n’ibuzwa ry’umusaruro muri Aziya, ibiciro bya aluminiyumu byazamutseho 48% muri uyu mwaka, ibyo bikaba byateje impungenge z’ifaranga ku isoko, kandi n’abakora ibicuruzwa by’abaguzi bahura n’ibitero bibiri by’ibura ry’ibikoresho fatizo ndetse no kwiyongera gukabije muri ikiguzi.

Mu nama ya Haruminium ya Aluminium iteganijwe kubera i Chicago ku ya 8-10 Nzeri, abayitabiriye benshi bavuze ko ibura ry’itangwa rizakomeza kwibasira inganda mu gihe cy’umwaka utaha, ndetse n’abari bahari ndetse bakavuga ko bishobora gutwara imyaka igera kuri itanu kugira ngo bikemuke ikibazo cyo gutanga.

Kugeza ubu, urwego rwogutanga amasoko ku isi hamwe no kohereza ibicuruzwa mu gihe inkingi igerageza gukora ibishoboka byose kugira ngo ibicuruzwa bikomeze kwiyongera no gutsinda ingaruka z’ibura ry'abakozi ryatewe n'icyorezo gishya cy'ikamba. Ibura ry'abakozi n'abashoferi b'amakamyo mu nganda za aluminiyumu ryakajije umurego mu nganda za aluminium.

Ati: “Kuri twe, ibintu biriho ubu ni akajagari. Ikibabaje ni uko iyo dutegereje 2022, ntidutekereza ko iki kibazo kizashira vuba aha. "Mike Keown, umuyobozi mukuru wa Commonwealth Rolled Products, yagize ati:" Kuri twe, ibintu bitoroshye ubu biratangiye, bizashoboka. dukomeze kuba maso. ”

Commonwealth itanga cyane cyane ibicuruzwa byongerewe agaciro ka aluminium kandi ikabigurisha mu nganda z’imodoka. Kubera ibura rya semiconductor, inganda zitwara ibinyabiziga ubwazo nazo zihura ningorane zumusaruro.

Abantu benshi bitabiriye inama ya Haruminium ya Aluminium bavuze kandi ko ikibazo cy’ibura ry’akazi ari cyo kibazo gikomeye bahura nacyo muri iki gihe, kandi ko batazi igihe iki kibazo kizakemuka.

Adam Jackson, ukuriye ubucuruzi bw'ibyuma muri Aegis Hedging, mu kiganiro yagize ati: "Mu byukuri ibicuruzwa by’abaguzi birenze ibyo bakeneye. Bashobora kudategereza kwakira bose, ariko nibatumiza birenze, barashobora kwegera ibyo bategerejweho. Birumvikana ko niba ibiciro bigabanutse kandi ukaba ufite ibarura ridakorewe, ubwo buryo rero ni akaga. ”

Mugihe ibiciro bya aluminiyumu bizamuka, ababikora n'abaguzi baraganira kumasezerano yo gutanga buri mwaka. Abaguzi baragerageza gutinza bishoboka kugirango bumvikane, kuko ibiciro byo kohereza uyu munsi ni byinshi. Byongeye kandi, nk'uko byatangajwe na Jorge Vazquez, umuyobozi mukuru wa Harbour Intelligence, ngo baracyareba kandi bagategereza kureba niba Uburusiya, uruganda rwa kabiri rukora aluminium ku isi, ruzakomeza imisoro ihenze yoherezwa mu mahanga kugeza umwaka utaha.

Ibi byose birashobora kwerekana ko ibiciro bizamuka kurushaho. Harbour Intelligence yavuze ko iteganya ko igiciro cya aluminiyumu mu 2022 kizagera ku madolari ya Amerika 2,570 kuri toni, kikaba kizaba kiri hejuru ya 9% ugereranyije n’ikigereranyo cy’ibicuruzwa bya aluminiyumu kugeza uyu mwaka. Harbour irateganya kandi ko igihembo cya Midwest muri Amerika kizazamuka kugeza ku rwego rwo hejuru rw'amafaranga 40 kuri pound mu gihembwe cya kane, bikiyongera 185% guhera mu mpera za 2020.

Umuyobozi mukuru wa Constellium SE, Buddy Stemple yagize ati: "Akajagari karashobora kuba inyito nziza muri iki gihe." Ati: "Sinigeze mbona ibihe nk'ibi kandi nahuye n'ibibazo byinshi icyarimwe.