I kēia mau lā, ʻo Michael Widmer, kahi mea hoʻolālā waiwai ma Bank of America, i haʻi aku i kāna mau manaʻo ma ka mākeke alumini ma kahi hōʻike. Ua wānana ʻo ia ʻoiai he liʻiliʻi ka lumi no ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai alumini i ka wā pōkole, e paʻa mau ana ka mākeke alumini a ke manaʻo nei e hoʻomau nā kumukūʻai alumini i ka wā lōʻihi.

Ua kuhikuhi ʻo Widmer i kāna hōʻike, ʻoiai he wahi liʻiliʻi no ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai aluminika i ka wā pōkole, aia ka mākeke alumini i kēia manawa i kahi kūlana paʻakikī, a i ka manawa e piʻi hou ai ke koi, pono e piʻi hou nā kumukūʻai alumini LME. Ua wānana ʻo ia ma ka makahiki 2025, e piʻi ke kumu kūʻai o ke alumini i $ 3000 no ka ton, a e kū ana ka mākeke i kahi hāʻawi a koi ʻia o 2.1 miliona mau tons. ʻAʻole hōʻike wale kēia wānana i ka hilinaʻi paʻa o Widmer i ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka mākeke aluminika, akā e hōʻike pū ana hoʻi i ke kiʻekiʻe o ka neʻe ʻana i ka mākeke alumini honua a me ka pilina koi.

Hoʻokumu ʻia nā wānana optimistic a Widmer ma nā kumu he nui. ʻO ka mea mua, me ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai honua, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hana ʻana i ka ʻoihana a me ka hana ʻana, ke manaʻo ʻia nei ka ulu ʻana o ka alumini. Eia kekahi, ʻo ka hoʻomohala wikiwiki ʻana o ka ʻoihana kaʻa kaʻa hou e lawe mai i ka noi hoʻonui nui i ka mākeke alumini. ʻO ke koi noaluminikai nā kaʻa ikehu hou ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe ma mua o nā kaʻa kuʻuna, no ka mea, he mau mea maikaʻi ka alumini e like me ka māmā, ka pale ʻana i ka corrosion, a me ka conductivity thermal maikaʻi, e lilo ia i mea pono i ka hana ʻana i nā kaʻa ikehu hou.

ʻO ka lua, ʻo ka piʻi nui ʻana o ka mana o ka honua i nā hoʻoiho kalapona i lawe mai i nā manawa hou i ka mākeke alumini.Aluminum, ma ke ʻano he mea māmā, e hoʻohana nui ʻia i nā kula e like me nā kaʻa ikehu hou. I ka manawa like, ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o ka recycling rate o ka alumini, e like me ke ʻano o ka hoʻomohala hoʻomau honua. Hāʻawi kēia mau mea āpau i ke alakaʻi ʻana i ka ulu ʻana o ka koi alumini.

Ke kū nei ke ʻano o ka mākeke alumini i kekahi mau pilikia. I kēia mau lā, ma muli o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka lako a me ke koi i ke komo ʻana i ka wā o ka hoʻohana ʻana, ua ʻike nā kumukūʻai alumini i kahi hāʻule. Akā, manaʻo ʻo Widmer he manawa pōkole kēia huki hope, a ʻo nā mea hoʻokele macroeconomic a me ka mālama koina e hāʻawi i ke kākoʻo no nā kumukūʻai alumini. Eia kekahi, ua kuhikuhi pū ʻo ia ma ke ʻano he mea hana nui a me ka mea kūʻai aku i ka alumini, ʻo ka nele o Kina i ka lako uila e hoʻonui hou aku i ka haʻalulu i ka mākeke alumini.