Alamu sun nuna cewa karancin kayan da ya kawo cikas ga kasuwannin kayayyaki da kuma kara farashin aluminum zuwa sama da shekaru 13 a wannan mako da wuya a samu sauki cikin kankanin lokaci-wannan shi ne babban taron aluminium da aka yi a Arewacin Amurka wanda aka kammala a ranar Juma'a. Yarjejeniyar da masana'anta, masu sayayya, 'yan kasuwa da masu jigilar kayayyaki suka cimma.

Sakamakon karuwar buƙatu, jigilar jigilar kayayyaki da ƙuntatawa na samarwa a Asiya, farashin aluminium ya tashi da kashi 48% a wannan shekara, wanda ya haifar da damuwa game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a kasuwa, kuma masu kera kayan masarufi suna fuskantar hare-hare sau biyu na ƙarancin albarkatun ƙasa da haɓaka haɓaka sosai halin kaka.

A taron koli na Aluminum na Harbour da aka shirya gudanarwa a Chicago a ranar 8-10 ga Satumba, masu halarta da yawa sun ce ƙarancin wadatar kayayyaki zai ci gaba da addabar masana'antar a mafi yawan shekara mai zuwa, kuma wasu masu halarta ma sun yi hasashen cewa zai iya ɗaukar har zuwa shekaru biyar don warwarewa. matsalar wadata.

A halin yanzu, tsarin samar da kayayyaki na duniya tare da jigilar kaya a yayin da ginshiƙi ke ƙoƙari sosai don ci gaba da haɓaka buƙatun kayayyaki da shawo kan tasirin ƙarancin ma'aikata da sabuwar cutar ta kambi ta haifar. Karancin ma'aikata da direbobin manyan motoci a masana'antar aluminium ya kara ta'azzara matsalolin masana'antar aluminium.

“A gare mu, halin da ake ciki yanzu yana da rudani sosai. Abin takaici, lokacin da muke sa ran 2022, ba ma tunanin wannan yanayin zai bace nan ba da jimawa ba," in ji Mike Keown, Shugaba na Commonwealth Rolled Products, a taron, "A gare mu, halin yanzu mai wahala ya fara, wanda zai kasance. a kiyaye mu.”

Commonwealth galibi suna samar da samfuran da aka ƙara darajar aluminium kuma suna sayar da su ga masana'antar kera motoci. Sakamakon karancin na'urorin sarrafa motoci, masana'antar kera motoci ita ma tana fuskantar matsalolin samar da kayayyaki.

Jama’a da dama da suka halarci taron Aluminum na Harbour sun kuma bayyana cewa karancin ma’aikata shi ne babbar matsalar da suke fuskanta a halin yanzu, kuma ba su san lokacin da za a shawo kan lamarin ba.

Adam Jackson, shugaban kasuwancin karafa a Aegis Hedging, ya ce a cikin wata hira, “Dokokin masu amfani sun fi yadda suke bukata. Wataƙila ba za su yi tsammanin karɓar su duka ba, amma idan sun yi kari, za su iya kusantar adadin da ake sa ran. Tabbas, idan farashin ya faɗi kuma kuna riƙe ƙarin kaya mara shinge, to wannan hanyar tana da haɗari sosai."

Yayin da farashin aluminium ya hauhawa, masu samarwa da masu siye suna yin shawarwarin kwangilar samar da kayayyaki na shekara-shekara. Masu saye suna ƙoƙarin jinkirta yadda zai yiwu don cimma yarjejeniya, saboda farashin jigilar kayayyaki a yau ya yi yawa. Bugu da kari, a cewar Jorge Vazquez, manajan daraktan hukumar leken asiri ta Harbor, har yanzu suna kallo da kuma jira don ganin ko Rasha, kasa ta biyu mafi girma a duniya a fannin samar da aluminium, za ta ci gaba da biyan harajin fitar da kayayyaki masu tsada har zuwa shekara mai zuwa.

Duk waɗannan na iya nuna cewa farashin zai ƙara tashi. Harbor Intelligence ya ce yana sa ran cewa matsakaicin farashin aluminium a cikin 2022 zai kai kusan dalar Amurka 2,570 akan kowace ton, wanda zai kasance kusan kashi 9% sama da matsakaicin farashin gawa na aluminum ya zuwa yanzu a wannan shekara. Harbour Harbour ya yi hasashen cewa ƙimar Midwest a Amurka za ta haura zuwa mafi girma na cent 40 a kowace fam a cikin kwata na huɗu, karuwa da 185% daga ƙarshen 2020.

"Har yanzu har yanzu yana iya zama kyakkyawan sifa a yanzu," in ji Buddy Stemple wanda shine Shugaba na Constellium SE, yana yin kasuwancin samfuran birgima. “Ban taɓa fuskantar irin wannan lokacin ba kuma na fuskanci ƙalubale da yawa a lokaci guda.